Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000287 0.000322 0.000359 0.000402 0.000451 0.000505 0.000568
2025-01-05 0.000232 0.000282 0.000342 0.000419 0.000515 0.000631 0.000784
2025-01-12 0.000188 0.000244 0.000314 0.000410 0.000540 0.000709 0.000951
2025-01-19 0.000155 0.000210 0.000283 0.000390 0.000542 0.000753 0.001075
2025-01-26 0.000138 0.000194 0.000274 0.000394 0.000575 0.000841 0.001270
2025-02-02 0.000128 0.000188 0.000275 0.000413 0.000630 0.000966 0.001538
2025-02-09 0.000115 0.000174 0.000262 0.000408 0.000648 0.001035 0.001727
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000164 0.000256 0.000412 0.000678 0.001127 0.001969
2025-02-23 0.000096 0.000154 0.000246 0.000408 0.000695 0.001197 0.002180
2025-03-02 0.000089 0.000146 0.000240 0.000411 0.000722 0.001289 0.002445
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000139 0.000233 0.000409 0.000742 0.001369 0.002701
2025-03-16 0.000074 0.000127 0.000217 0.000391 0.000727 0.001381 0.002819
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000121 0.000213 0.000393 0.000754 0.001481 0.003147
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000119 0.000215 0.000409 0.000813 0.001655 0.003674
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000112 0.000205 0.000401 0.000818 0.001718 0.003962
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000102 0.000191 0.000381 0.000797 0.001722 0.004107
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000098 0.000189 0.000385 0.000829 0.001848 0.004582
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000098 0.000192 0.000403 0.000895 0.002064 0.005336
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000093 0.000186 0.000399 0.000907 0.002153 0.005767
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000090 0.000184 0.000403 0.000940 0.002297 0.006384
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000086 0.000178 0.000399 0.000953 0.002394 0.006883
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000084 0.000176 0.000401 0.000982 0.002538 0.007562
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000080 0.000172 0.000400 0.001002 0.002659 0.008199